Prove Me Wrong

HDFC Bank

Financials · ₹711 · close of 14 Oct 2026

Try an example:

  1. 1
    67/160
  2. 2
    58/160
  3. 3
    53/160

Signals

HDFC Bank · close of 14 Oct 2026 · how each was tested

  1. Return range

    Next 20 trading days

    ₹760₹693₹609today

    Shaded: where 8 in 10 outcomes should land. Dashed: the middle.

    Track record: Beat its baseline by 1%. Its 10–90% range caught 75% of outcomes (target 80%).

  2. Volatility

    Forecast, annualised

    LSTM
    22%
    GARCH(1,1)Used
    22%
    Trailing 20-day vol
    23%

    Calmer than 28% of HDFC Bank's own history.

    Track record: Error cut vs the naive baseline, out-of-sample: LSTM +24.8%, GARCH(1,1) +28.5%. The best one is used.

  3. Market regime

    Nifty 50, today

    Choppysince 8 Oct 2026

    1. Calm
    2. Choppy
    3. Stressed

    Track record: Out-of-sample, Stressed days were followed by 1.9× the volatility of Calm days.

  4. Call language drift

    Earnings-call tone, quarter on quarter

    Not built yet

    FinBERT will score how much more hedged each concall is than the last. It joins only after it has been backtested like the others.

    Track record: Needs a scraped transcript archive first. No numbers are shown until it has been backtested like the others.